Covid - One Black Swan Refutes SAGE Groupthink

 On the American Institue for Economic Research page at https://www.aier.org/article/lockdowns-do-not-control-the-coronavirus-the-evidence/ there are links to 24 papers showing that lockdown does not work and is destructive. One paper describes the case for lockdown as circular reasoning and "an artefact." To say an argument is an artefact is the nearest a researcher comes to saying it is made up. They are all by established researchers who do not publish in the Upper Volta Review of Books.

SAGE and the Government are trapped by bias confirmation, groupthink and reliance on modelling. But one black swan refutes the contention that only white swans exist. Both knew from Italian data in March that the average age of death from Covid is 80 and that 95% of fatalities have a comorbidity. 714 people under 45 (1.2%) have died in England & Wales (so only 36 without an identified comorbidity). 58,000 people 70+ have died (3000 without a comorbidity): 84% of fatalities (Source ONS). If fatalities with a comorbidity actually have one but it has not been identified, then it is possible that Covid has killed no healthy people at all. In any case, it is clear that the general public are not threatened with mass fatalities, only specific groups.

The vast majority of peoople who catch Covid have no or very mild symptoms. Of course some do have serious symptoms and require emergency hospital treatment. So do sufferers from pneumonia and influenza (and there is "long influenza"), but we do not relentlessly track and publish these cases and as a result destroy our economy and the lives of generally younger people through missed screening, addiction and deaths from despair every time there is a flu epidemic. There Is No Alternative is the response of those who 'follow the science'-which does not exist, rather than engaging in scientific critical thinking.